Friday, June 28, 2013

Global Warming And Climate Change: There's Nothing To Fight Against

Global Warming And Climate Change: There's Nothing To Fight Against - Investors.com:
 "The feared warming predicted by models simply hasn't materialized. The flaw is so obvious that even the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is having to acknowledge that maybe there's nothing to this global warming after all.
"If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models," Hans Van Storch, the IPCC report's lead author has admitted to Spiegel, the German magazine.
"But even today, we are finding it very difficult to reconcile actual temperature trends with our expectations."

1 comment:

Dan Pangburn said...

CO2 increase from 1800 to 2001 was 89.5 ppmv (parts per million by volume). The atmospheric carbon dioxide level has now increased since 2001 by 25.46 ppmv (an amount equal to 28.4% of the increase that took place from 1800 to 2001) (1800, 281.6 ppmv; 2001, 371.13 ppmv; May, 2013, 396.59 ppmv).

The average global temperature trend since 2001 is flat. http://endofgw.blogspot.com/

Rationalize that the temperature increase to 2001 was caused by a CO2 increase of 89.5 ppmv but that 25.46 ppmv additional CO2 increase had no effect on the average global temperature trend after 2001.

A simple equation at http://climatechange90.blogspot.com/2013/05/natural-climate-change-has-been.html calculates average global temperatures since they have been accurately measured world wide (about 1895) with an accuracy of 90%, irrespective of whether the influence of CO2 is included or not. The equation uses a single external forcing, a proxy that is the time-integral of sunspot numbers. A graph is included which shows the calculated temperature anomaly trajectory overlaid on measurements.