Sunday, December 07, 2014

How the Science Got Settled :: SteynOnline

How the Science Got Settled :: SteynOnline:
"Anyway, here's what I had to say about Climategate in my column for Maclean's (Canada's equivalent to Time magazine basically) on December 7th 2009. 
...In the meantime, here's Climategate as it looked half a decade back:
..3) The Settled Scientists have attempted to (in the words of one email) "hide the decline" — that's to say, obscure the awkward fact that "global warming" stopped over a decade ago.
Phil Jones, July 5, 2005:
The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. Okay it has but it is only seven years of data and it isn't statistically significant.
4) The Settled Scientists have tortured the data into compliance with political requirements.
From the computer code for one of the "Mann" models:
Plots (1 at a time) yearly maps of calibrated (PCR-infilled or not) MXD reconstructions of growing season temperatures. Uses 'corrected' MXD - but shouldn't usually plot past 1960 because these will be artificially adjusted to look closer to the real temperatures.
Yet perhaps the most important revelation is not the collusion, the bullying, the politicization and the evidence-planting, but the fact that, even if you wanted to do honest "climate research" at the Climatic Research Unit, the data and the models are now so diseased by the above that they're all but useless. 

Let Ian "Harry" Harris, who works in "climate scenario development and data manipulation" at the CRU, sum it up. 
Mr. Harris was attempting to duplicate previous results—i.e., to duplicate all that science that's supposedly settled, and the questioning of which consigns you to the Climate Branch of the Flat Earth Society. How hard should it be to confirm settled science? 
After much cyber-gnashing of teeth, Harry throws in the towel:
ARGH. Just went back to check on synthetic production. Apparently - I have no memory of this at all - we're not doing observed rain days! It's all synthetic from 1990 onwards. So I'm going to need conditionals in the update program to handle that. And separate gridding before 1989. And what TF happens to station counts?
OH F**K THIS. It's Sunday evening, I've worked all weekend, and just when I thought it was done I'm hitting yet another problem that's based on the hopeless state of our databases. There is no uniform data integrity, it's just a catalogue of issues that continues to grow as they're found.

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