Thursday, December 14, 2017

Why Doug Jones Won in Alabama, and What It Doesn't Mean For 2018

Why Doug Jones Won in Alabama, and What It Doesn't Mean For 2018:
"...5. The Senate is not necessarily in play for 2018.
See the source image
Perhaps the most common "hot take" from Jones' victory was the claim that it puts the Republican majority in the U.S. Senate in serious jeopardy...
...Respectfully, I disagree.
...Democrats would need to hold on to every seat and take Arizona and Nevada. 
This is not impossible, but it remains exceedingly unlikely.
...There is a very small outside chance Democrats could win all of these races, but there would be essentially no margin for error.
Trump has proven a boon to the Republican National Committee's coffers, just as the Democrats struggle to raise money.
The Republican lost in Alabama on Tuesday, but this may prove to be a Pyrrhic victory for Democrats moving forward."

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