Politics versus science in attributing extreme weather events to manmade global warming.
...Hurricanes and climate change constitute a major portion of my testimony. You may recall my recent series on Hurricanes & climate change [link].
Specifically with regards to detection and attribution, my bottom line conclusion was:
“In summary, the trend signal in hurricane activity has not yet had time to rise above the background variability of natural processes.
Manmade climate change may have caused changes in hurricane activity that are not yet detectable due to the small magnitude of these changes compared to estimated natural variability, or due to observational limitations.
But at this point, there is no convincing evidence that manmade global warming has caused a change in hurricane activity.”
I’m sure many would dismiss this conclusion as ‘denial’, in spite of the extensive documentation and logic of my arguments.
Lets dig into:- the latest from the hurricane researchers
- ‘storylines’ from non-hurricane researchers
- why blaming extreme events on AGW is important in ‘winning’ the public debate
- what happens when scientists get in the way of AGW activist ‘scare stories’ about extreme events
- ‘scaring the children’ strategies
Read all!
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