Thursday, October 28, 2021
Nobel Prize Awarded for the Worst Climate Model | RealClearPolicy
"Given the persistent headlines about climate change over the years, it’s surprising how long it took the Nobel Committee to award the Physics prize to a climate modeler, which finally occurred earlier this month.
Indeed, Syukuro Manabe has been a pioneer in the development of so-called general circulation climate models (GCMs) and more comprehensive Earth System Models (ESMs).
...What Manabe did was to modify early global weather forecasting models...
...And, after many modifications and renditions, it is also the most incorrect of all the world’s GCMs at altitude over the vast tropics of the planet.
...Following Manabe, vast numbers of modelling centers popped up, mushrooms fertilized by public — and only public — money.
...At its worst, the GFDL model is predicting approximately five times as much warming as has been observed since the upper-atmospheric data became comprehensive in 1979...Read all.